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[ga] Re: ICANN Directors Nominations (follow up)
Joe and all,
After some review by our staff, I have been made aware that indeed
there is something smelly going on here... Nice bit of snooping, Joe...
Stay on top of this would you? >;)
!Dr. Joe Baptista wrote:
> ICANN Directors Nominations (follow up)
> =======================================
>
> CANDIDATES:
> -----------
>
> This past Saturday 19 Aug 2000 I made a number of predictions regarding
> ICANN directors nominations - which see;
>
> http://lists.netsol.com/cgi-bin/wa?A2=ind0008&L=DOMAIN-POLICY&P=R34370
>
> I am pleased to say that the candidates I selected have all been nominated
> with the exception of two candidates in the Asia Pacific region - being
> Jong Ho Kim who currently holds 587 votes and Kuo-Wei Wu with 715 votes.
>
> I have also added Berend Schuitema from the African Region with 9 votes (7
> to qualify) and Dmitri Bourkov from Europe with 536 votes.
>
> PROJECTIONS:
> ------------
>
> On Friday, 1 Sep 2000 I provided some straight line projections which
> estimated the total validated/verified applications would be some 82,839
> or 52% of total applications - which see;
>
> http://lists.netsol.com/cgi-bin/wa?A2=ind0009&L=DOMAIN-POLICY&P=R82
>
> These projections were not met - I expect they will close nominations with
> some 77,000 validated applications which represents 49% of total
> applications for membership (close - but no cigar).
>
> Based on this information I can say with certainty that large blocks of
> the @large are controlled - and at least a good portion are bogus
> registrations.
>
> DISCUSSION:
> -----------
>
> At this time the only region I can see with any chance of beating the
> ICANN candidate selections is Europe and maybe Latin America. This is
> based on the total vote count per region refelected as a percentage of
> validated members. Europe is at 36% while Latin America squeeks by at
> 28%. If candidates in those two regions "make deals" with each other and
> can deliver the vote - then the probability of a win against an ICANN
> selected director is possible. I can not say the same for other regions.
>
> There has also been considerable discussion on numerous lists with respect
> to the European region being taken over by hackers. I have found many of
> these discussion somewhat humourous. I feel Europe and the organizational
> level there is not even close to a well organized campaign. It is
> "organized" but not in the professional way of political parties. I find
> many of these accusation of takeover and highjacking to be mainly bogus
> and ill informed speculation.
>
> The organizational efforts deployed in Europe should be taken as a minimum
> requirement guide for future candidates. Or in plain language - if you
> sit on your ass and play with yourself you'll get a warm fuzzy feeling -
> but don't expect to win this election.
>
> CURRENT STATS, VOTES & PROJECTIONS:
> -----------------------------------
>
> Date / Desc Africa Pacific Europe Latin North Totals
>
> 18-Aug 171 22124 14803 2130 7864 47092
> 22-Aug 197 27513 16787 2494 8406 55397
> 23-Aug 212 28575 17888 2749 8804 58228
> 25-Aug 225 29481 18660 2838 8956 60160
> 28-Aug 256 31981 20339 3144 9584 65304
> 30-Aug 273 33135 21051 3248 9812 67519
> 1-Sep 281 34164 21626 3324 10009 69404
> 4-Sep 302 35373 22544 3435 10233 71887
> 5-Sep 308 36006 22870 3492 10346 73022
> 6-Sep 312 36831 23123 3519 10482 74267
> 7-Sep 314 37765 23366 3554 10615 75614
>
>
> Total Verified apps 314 37765 23366 3554 10615 75614
> Total membership apps 787 93782 35942 6486 21596 158593
> % total Apps verified 40% 40% 65% 55% 49% 48%
>
> Change per Region 143 15641 8563 1424 2751 28522
> Change per day 7 782 428 71 138 1426
>
> Projected Verified apps 321 38547 23794 3625 10753 77040
> % of total Apps 41% 41% 66% 56% 50% 49%
>
> Total Votes 66 4750 8483 1003 2012 16314
> % of validated members 21% 13% 36% 28% 19% 22%
> % of total Apps 8% 5% 24% 15% 9% 10%
> 2% of validated 7 756 468 72 213
>
> NOMINATED CANDIDATES:
> ---------------------
>
> Region Name Nflag Votes % Validated
>
> AFRICA Amin Amor N 9 2.9%
> AFRICA Calvin Browne N 48 15.3%
> AFRICA Berend Schuitema N Add 9 2.9%
> ASIA Hong Jie li N 1153 3.1%
> EUROPE Andy Mueller-Maguhn N 2692 11.5%
> EUROPE Lutz Donnerhacke N 859 3.7%
> EUROPE Jeanette Hofmann N 1185 5.1%
> EUROPE Dmitri Bourkov N Add 536 2.3%
> LATAMER Claudio Silva Menezes N 865 24.3%
> NRAMER Karl Auerbach N 575 5.4%
> NRAMER Barbara Simons N 429 4.0%
> NRAMER Emerson Tiller N 373 3.5%
>
> Notes on NFlag: N (Nominated)
> N Add (Nominated and added later)
>
> regards
> Joe Baptista
>
> http://www.dot.god/
> dot.GOD Hostmaster
> +1 (805) 753-8697
>
> ---
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