Re: [wg-b] me thinks thou dost protect too much ...

[Ellen Rony <erony@marin.k12.ca.us>]

FWIW:

In 1999, according to NSI's SEC filings, there were 5,020,000 net new
registrations.  Net new registrations for each period include gross new
registrations less an estimate of registrations that are uncollectible for
registar services.

1.6 million net new registrations were in 4Q 99.

So assume for 1Q 00 as many as 2.4 million registrations, in an
accelerating scale at 700K, 800K and 900K in Jan, Feb and March,
respectively.  Given these guestimates, the range of registrations per week
should be estimated in the vicinity of 200K, but not likely as high as
400K.



Milton Mueller wrote:

>Based on real statistics
>
>We don't have ten thousand disputes per million names.
>
>After three months of UDRP, we have exactly 577 disputed names.
>
>The number of com/net/org registrations during that period is not known for
>sure, but can be estimated at somewhere between 160k and 400k per week.
>Thus, most conservatively, disputed names in the UDRP are coming in at a
>rate of about one quarter of one percent of all registrations in
>com/net/org. The other figure would give you .0005, or 5 percent of 1
>percent.
>
>That ratio will decline going forward because these disputes are handling
>names registered between 1994 and late 1999; as the backlog is cleared the
>number of UDRPs filed can only decline (if the number of TLDs is held
>constant). The NSI drp followed a similar pattern, declining in both
>absolute and ratio terms from 97 to 98.
>
>----- Original Message -----
>From: "Hartman, Steve"
>
>> The percentage of cybersquatters may be small, but the absolute numbers
>are
>> large.The one percent rate is ten thousand registrants per every million.
>> But that aside, no one would argue that we shouldn't have laws against
>theft
>> or pollution because the number of thieves or polluters comprise only a
>> small percentage of the population.
>
>This is a rather poorly thought out argument. The laws exist. No one is
>arguing that we shouldn't have laws against trademark infringement or even
>certain blatant forms of cybersquatting. The issue is whether we need to
>re-engineer DNS and create major legal risks to free expression and small
>business to combat a miniscule problem.


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